The Ben Levy Framework for Peace in the Middle East
"We will not abandon the path of Jihad and martyrdom as long as one inch of our land remains in the hands of the Jews."
So said Raed Sa'ed, a senior Hamas leader, this week at a rally in Gaza City.
Palestinian militancy is much more widely reported here in Israel than in the US. On the day of the final Israeli withdrawal from Gaza, I compared the press coverage between Haaretz and the International Herald Tribune, which is published by the New York Times. The Tribune story spoke generally about the challenge of maintaining order in Gaza, and while it stated that former synagogues in the Jewish settlements had been destroyed it did not go into details.
In Haaretz, by contrast, the entire top half of the front page was a photograph of mob chaos inside the sanctuary of a former synagogue, with dozens of Palestinians smashing and burning. The accompanying story vividly described the fury of the masses that descended upon the Jewish settlements as soon as the last Israeli soldier had left. And this was in the left wing newspaper. The violence was described in even more apocalyptic terms by the conservative Jerusalem Post.
The Jerusalem Post regularly reports on attempted suicide bombings that are foiled by Israeli security forces, the implication being that the decline in terrorist attacks over the last year is the result of the security fence working, not the cease fire with the Palestinians.
No, there are no illusions here about the Palestinians becoming "peace partners" any time soon. Even staunch left wingers, though they may largely blame Israeli mistakes for the status quo, concede that from where we are today the idealistic vision of two states peacefully coexisting is a long way off.
Why, then, do Israeli Jews seem to be LESS hard line than American Jews on the Palestinian issue? And why are my own views moving to the center (gasp) since coming here?
Here's my theory:
From 5,000 miles away in America the existence of Israel seems more tenuous than it does when you wake up here every morning, take your kids to school and afterwards maybe basketball or gymnastics, or go to the mall and get stuck in traffic. Of course I knew before our trip that the perception of Israel as the site of a continual life-or-death struggle was not accurate. But living here for the last two months has underscored how much of a "done deal" Israel feels like now, much more so than when I first lived here 25 years ago.
Maybe for this reason, things like Hamas's charter calling for the outright destruction of Israel seemed like more of an affront when we were in America than they do now that we're living in Herzliya. Here -- on this side of the security fence and protected by a powerful and technologically advanced army, with peace agreements in place with Egypt and Jordan and most Palestinians living in squalor in poor villages and refugee camps -- it just seems like words.
A few weeks ago I was explaining the Gaza evacuation to Ben in the context of the Israeli-Arab conflict and the current situation with the Palestinians. After listening and asking some good questions about the relative military capabilities of the Israelis and Palestinians, he asked, "If we're so much stronger than they are, why can't we just give back the West Bank and not worry about it?"
That's exactly the debate raging in Israel right now.
The Gaza withdrawal last month will serve as a test case to evaluate an evolving centrist position here that advocates unilaterally withdrawing from most of the West Bank -- to set borders protected by a security fence -- regardless of what the Palestinians are doing or saying. The precise borders would no doubt be hotly contested, but in any reasonable scenario would resemble the pre-1967 lines, with carve-outs for the largest Jewish settlements that have been established since then. Then we wait for the Anwar Sadat of the Palestinians to emerge and make peace.
The Camp David plan offered by Israel in 2000 would have returned 95% of the West Bank, and East Jerusalem, to the Palestinians in exchange for declaring the "end of conflict." Arafat rejected the deal and started the Intifada. So why should Israel give the Palestinians the same result five years later without getting anything in return, even an acknowledgement of its right to exist?
Because, the argument goes, the military risk of withdrawing is manageable, and is more than offset by the benefits of ending the occupation, which drains Israel economically and psychologically. (Some might add that Israel also would gain politically, but I am cynical on this point and doubt that Israel can ever win in the court of world opinion.)
The wisdom of this strategy rests on the following military question: what is the worst-case damage that could be inflicted on Israel from behind the security fence by a radical Palestinian entity, populated by people who think like Raed Sa'ed (see quote above) and unfettered by an Israeli military presence in its midst?
It seems unlikely that the Palestinians, acting alone, could strike a serious military blow against Israel, let alone a mortal one, with the safeguards that Israel would doubtless leave in place after a withdrawal from the West Bank. Of course, rockets and missiles fired into Israel from Palestinian-controlled areas could cause damage and loss of life. But these are not existential risks, and I imagine Israel would retaliate even more fiercely after withdrawing to pre-1967 borders, or something close to them. In any event, I suppose that in the worst case scenario Israel could reoccupy Palestinian lands if attacks became a significant and enduring problem.
I know nothing about military matters, so I am trying to get different opinions from knowledgeable people. Based on what I know now, the Ben Levy Plan makes sense. I believe a majority of Israelis think so too.
Travel update
Last Saturday we spent a long, fun day with our cousins Abby and Bruce in the Dead Sea area. The group photo is from the top of Masada looking out over the sea. On the way back, we dropped off Abby and Bruce in Jerusalem and arrived just as the sun was setting, so we stopped on Mount Scopus to take in the amazing view. On the photos from there (click to enlarge) you can see the beautiful Dome of the Rock, where Mohammed ascended to the heavens, in the background. This is considered the third holiest site for Muslims, behind Mecca and Medina.







